Research Pillars

Prediction Markets

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Research phase — no trading edge validated

Research complete (Jul 2026). All opportunities below are theoretical, ranked by structural strength. Zero historical data has been logged. The critical next step is building the VPS price-history logger — not trading.

Access risk: HIGH — ESMA (3 Jul 2026) warns prediction market contracts may fall under the EU retail binary-options ban. Ireland access is grey/contested. All trading strategies are contingent on access surviving. The logger infrastructure is access-immune and must be built first.
Research summary

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Research metrics
FindingResultEvidenceCaveat
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Ranked opportunities — research only, not recommendations
#OpportunityStatusAccess riskNotes
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These are research findings, not buy/sell recommendations. No edge is proven. Validate on logged data before any capital at risk.

Next milestone before any trading claims
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